October 30, 2014


Florida poll: Charlie Crist edges ahead of Rick Scott

By: Steven Shepard




A new Quinnipiac University poll out Thursday shows former Florida Gov. Charlie Crist inching in front of his successor, GOP Gov. Rick Scott, in the Sunshine’s State’s bitter, expensive gubernatorial race.


Crist, who governed the state as a Republican but is now a Democrat, has a 3-point edge over Scott, according to the poll, 43 percent to 40 percent. Adrian Wyllie, the Libertarian candidate, is at 8 percent, and 9 percent are undecided. Crist’s lead is within the poll’s 3.4-percentage-point margin of error.


The result of the poll, which surveyed 817 likely voters from Oct. 22-27, is statistically unchanged from a week ago, when Crist and Scott were tied at 42 percent.


(POLITICO’s 2014 race ratings)


Neither candidate is popular in the state, the poll shows. Likely voters are split on Crist’s favorable/unfavorable rating, with 45 percent viewing him favorably and the same percentage having an unfavorable opinion — a slight improvement for the former governor. Scott’s rating is upside down: 41 percent favorable and 46 percent unfavorable.


Crist’s inside-the-margin lead is built upon an 18-point advantage among self-identified independents, 47 percent to 29 percent, and a 14-point edge among women, 49 percent to 35 percent. Men favor Scott, 47 percent to 37 percent.


The Tampa Bay Times is expected to release the results of its poll, conducted by the University of Florida’s Bob Graham Center for Public Service, later today.