By VANESSA APARICIO, DAVID DIAZ, JUDITH HARTSHORN AND
ROBERT R. HILL
SPECIAL TO THE DAILY NEWS
The first thing to
realize is that Florida experiences natural cycles of wet and dry periods, and,
in the absence of humans, the natural system copes with both extremes just
fine. The second thing to realize is that droughts and floods are normal and
that these terms are human concepts.
Problems arise
when we build in historic lowlands and natural cyclical periods of high-water
levels ruin our properties. Conversely, in times of drought, problems arise
with increased demand for freshwater and uneven distribution of this precious
resource.
Debate has arisen
over whether the current drought situation is human-made or human-exacerbated.
Note the common denominator, human. Problems with drought in
If the
The reality of the
situation is that since the restoration plan has started, we have had three
droughts, which have cost millions, perhaps billions, of dollars in damages. In
2011, 4,155 wildfires have burned a total of 267,032 acres. If droughts
continue with the same intensity and frequency, we calculate that the cost of
fire suppression will be upward of $14 million for 2011 and $171 million over
the course of the
restoration
plan.
During droughts,
agriculture and horticulture suffer as well. We estimate that in 2011,
Based on a 2009
study conducted by the
We have calculated
that in 2011 losses will be in excess of $976 million in drought management.
Many economic impacts, such as soil loss due to oxidation and burning of peat,
were difficult to calculate and are not included in this estimate. Over the
course of the restoration plan, if we continue to have droughts of the same
intensity and frequency as we have had over the last 10 years, drought
management costs are likely to approach $11 billion. Our calculations indicate
its implementation will significantly reduce the need for costly drought
management.
We have plenty of
freshwater in
According to the
South Florida Water Management District, “the 2011 wet season is off to its
driest start in more than 20 years, following below-normal rainfall levels that
began in October.”
Furthermore, the
current rate of rise of
We need to
consider, both short-term and long-term solutions, to drought management in
The alternative to high-cost drought management is for the town and
other entities to band together and insist that the state and federal
government act to restore the
Speaking from the
next generation’s perspective, we need to work together to find solutions to
the problem rather than continue to manage the droughts in the moment and then
slip into a state of apathetic comfort with each new rainy season.
“And it never
failed that during the dry years the people forgot about the rich years, and
during the wet years they lost all memory of the dry years. It was always that
way.”
— John Steinbeck (shortly after the Dust
Bowl)