October 5, 2014
New gov poll: Scott leads Crist by 3
By Kevin Lollar
In a race that's likely to go down to the wire, incumbent Florida Gov. Rick Scott holds a slender 3 percentage-point lead over Democratic challenger Charlie Crist in a fresh poll released today.
The YouGov/CBS News/New York Times online survey finds Scott leading Crist 47-44 percent, when leaners are included. Without leaners, Scott leads 44-40 percent.
Additionally, "others" receives 1 percent and 8 percent are not sure. Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie was not offered as an option.
YouGov surveyed 5,689 likely voters online from Sept. 20-Oct. 1. The margin of error is +/-1.7 percent.
Meanwhile, The News-Press forecast model finds there's a 52.2 percent probability that Scott will defeat Crist in November; essentially a coin flip. The incumbent is predicted to squeak out a 47.2-47.0 percent victory in November.
Other YouGov findings:
• 90 percent say they will definitely vote; 10 percent say they're likely to vote.
• 41 percent say they will vote on Election Day; 24 percent will early vote; 30 percent will vote by mail; and 5 percent weren't sure.
• 70 percent say their minds are made up; 30 percent say they could vote for a different candidate.